Saturday, 7 November 2009

Bet 23

Bet 23 - STORMY WEATHER - 15.15 - Doncaster

His hurdling was not fantastic in his last race at Aintree, where he finished 3rd. That slip up has seen the 3 year old reverting back to the flat for another run. He looks to be un-exposed compared to many of this field, and is certainly a horse on the upgrade. He has shown huge promise, especially when also finishing 3rd, this time at Haydock in a competitive 3 year old handicap back in the early summer. With the newly crowned apprentice champ on board, Stormy Weather can show he has the class to make the frame here, and do so at a nice price.

1pt e/w

Friday, 6 November 2009

Bet 22

Bet 22 - KANGAROO COURT - 14.50 - Wincanton

Already a winner this season, it would be nice to see Kangaroo Court win again before the ground goes against him and he is put away till the spring. Last time, at Cheltenham, he beat a number of useful types, including Red Admiral - whom he reopposes today. His jumping was excellent at Cheltenham, and another clean set of jumps will see him go close in this one. The Nicholls runner will be popular, but I think that Emma Lavelle's inmate has better form so far this year, and is a progressive looking type with a big future ahead of him.

2pts win

Bet 21

Bet 21 - TASHEBA - 14.05 - Wincanton

A nice looking race here, where some of the hurdling big guns come out. Celestial Halo should probably have won the Champion Hurdle last season and is a very decent hurdler, but has been off track for over 200 days - a fairly long lay off, and with Paul Nicholls not yet firing on all cylinders I will happily take him on. I would have done so even if one of my horses to follow was not opposing. Tasheba was last seen finishing a creditable 4th at the Royal meeting on the flat. Prior to that, he had not finished out of the places over hurdles. With the stable coming back to form, he stands a decent chance of finishing in the money again tomorrow.

1pt e/w

Bet 20

Bet 20 - DIAMOND BROOK - 12.40 - Wincanton

Diamond Harry came to prominence last year, giving Nick Williams some headlines as an up and coming trainer. This season, Diamond Brook should well add to his list of victories and help cement his position as a very handy trainer. Highly regarded by his yard, Diamond Brook raced once, finishing second at Ludlow behind Acordean. He jumped well that day, and was put away for the year afterthat. After 7 months off the track he reappeared last month at Bangor, where he finished a respectable 4th of 11 after his lengthy lay off. That was a decent looking race, and Diamond Brook did well to finish as close as he did. He will have come on for that run, and with his excellent jumping style he should be in with an excellent chance here tomorrow. Forecast as being 5/1, he will be backed each way.

1pt E/W

Summary

MANYRIVERSTOCROSS won in style on Wednesday at odds of 8/11, he really looked at home over hurdles, and is clearly an exciting prospect for the Novice Hurdle events at Cheltenham. SOMERSBY won cosily on his first adventure over fences, beating Straw Bear very easily, this time at odds of 11/10. Today, VOLER LA VEDETTE won, again, with ease in Ireland. She really is a progressive looking mare who is winning in style, beating some handy opponents. She was backed today, and went off the 5/4 favourite.

Bets - 19
Wins - 10
Places - 2
Losses - 7
Bank - 205pts
P/L - 5pts

Last catch up!

Bet 19 – VOLER LA VEDETTE - Down Royal 14.05
The exciting mare runs for the second time this year, after winning her re-appearance at Punchestown 3 weeks ago. That victory has seen her move up a stone in the ratings, and therefore she has also moved up in Grade to this level. This is usually quite an informative race, last year won by Jered, and it would be no surprise of the winner here does go onto win fancy races at the end of season festivals. Voler La Vedette has only been headed once over hurdles, when finishing 5th in a decent race last year, although slightly below par that day, she has since bounced back, and the way she won last time out was impressive. However, the calibre of her rivals has also improved, and today she must take down GO Native – an impressive Cheltenham Festival winner who has also already won this season. Voler La Vedette is an improving type though, and she should have more to offer. If that is the case, then victory today is by no means an impossibility.

2pts win

Catching up...

Bet 14 - PANDORAMA - Punchestown - 15.25

After missing the end of season festivals last season, Noel Meade's Pandorama makes his debut over fences at Punchestown on Tuesday in a 2m4f Novice Chase. He should be all the rage in the betting, having only been defeated once last season, when he ran in the Cheltenham Festival winner Mikael D'aguenet. That loss aside,Pandorama dominated every race he contested last season. An enormous looking horse, he should make the ideal chaser, and Noel Meade has said the Gold Cup is this horse's long term goal. Although he takes on 20 runners here, he sould have the class to confirm that he is a superstar in the making.

2pts win

Bet 15 - BOUGLLER - Kempton 2.30

Bougller has won 2 hurdles races from 3 starts over timber and has only been beaten by Mikhael D'Haguenet. When winning very decent Grade 2 event at Aintree he looked very useful, beating some highly respected hurdlers in Ainame, Copper Bleu and Trenchant. He looks well treated on the basis of that form here and should take some beating, despite being forecasted at 7/1. Emma Lavelle is becoming more and more highly respected in the trainig ranks, and she may well have a pretty useful hurdler on her hands here.

1pt E/W


Bet 16 - Royal Charm - 2.30 Exeter

An exciting prospect from the Paul Nicholls yard makes his seasonal reappearance here tomorrow in Royal Charm. Still a novice this season, Royal Charm made a very pleasing debut in Britain when finishing second in a pretty hot looking race at Sandown in February. After being heavily backed that day, he ended up second best, but drew an impressive distance clear of the 3rd horse. He was given time off after that run to settle into the yard, and now is back to try and win his first race. He has been compared by Nicholl's to Big Bucks, so he has a pretty lofty reputation already at Ditcheat, and it should be exciting to see this horse progress as the year goes on. The yard won this race last year, and although they have not made a red hot start to the season, Royal Charm must be given a huge amount of respect here. Naturally for a Paul Nicholls talking horse, he will not be a price to write home about - but a win is a win, and I need something to get me back on track after a few recent losses.

2pts win

Wednesday, 4 November 2009

Updating

After being away for a week, the blog has fallen slightly behind. I will take time over the next few days to bring things back up to speed.

Totals -

Bets - 16
Wins - 7
Places - 2
Losses - 7
Bank - 199pts
P/L - -1pt

Bets 17 and 18

Bet 17 – MANYRIVERSTOCROSS – 14.05 Chepstow

A recent convert from the flat – Manyriverstocross is an interesting contender in this 2m maiden hurdle. The contest looks weak, and if Manyriverstocross has been well schooled, which presumably is the case, then this should not take too much winning. He was a very decent handicapper on the flat, and the cross to hurdling could be taken in his stride. His recent 2nd at Doncaster, behind Nanton over a trip just shy of 2m shows us that he is in decent form, and if he takes to jumping then he could be very interesting indeed over the next few months.
2pts win

Bet 18 – SOMERSBY – 14.30 Warwick

This is a nice looking Novices Chase race, in which a couple of interesting contenders meet. Straw Bear was excellent over hurdles, but so far, has not really displayed the same form over the fences. Henrietta Knight has only run Somersby 6 times over hurdles, but in that time, he reached a mark of 141 – last seen finishing 3rd in a decent race at Aintree back in February. His fitness must be taken on trust, but with such a long lay off since his last race, he will have been well schooled at home, and should be ready to take the switch to fences.
2pts win